{
    "id": "FC-2026-050",
    "slug": "fc-2026-050",
    "question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛘᛁᚿᛌᛐ éᛁ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛘᚢᛚᛐᛁᛆᚴᛁᚿᛐᛒᛚᛆᛐᛐᚠᚢᚱᛘ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2028 ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛆ ᛌᛁᚴᚿᛁᚱᛐ ᛘᛁᛚᛐᛁᚿᚴᛌᚴᚢᚿᚠᚢᛚᚢᛐᛐ ᛘᛁᛐ ᛁᚠᚿᛁ- ᚢᚴ ᛆᚢᛐᚢᚱᛁᛐᛁᛐᛌᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛁᚿᚴ?",
    "title": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛘᛁᚿᛌᛐ éᛁ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛘᚢᛚᛐᛁᛆᚴᛁᚿᛐᛒᛚᛆᛐᛐᚠᚢᚱᛘ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2028 ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛆ ᛌᛁᚴᚿᛁᚱᛐ ᛘᛁᛚᛐᛁᚿᚴᛌᚴᚢᚿᚠᚢᛚᚢᛐᛐ ᛘᛁᛐ ᛁᚠᚿᛁ- ᚢᚴ ᛆᚢᛐᚢᚱᛁᛐᛁᛐᛌᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛁᚿᚴ?",
    "resolution_date": "2028-08-14",
    "resolution_criteria": "ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᚢᚴ ᛐᛁᛌᛐᚴᚢᛐᛁ ᛘᚭ ᚠᛁᛌᛆ ᛌᛁᚴᚿᛆᛐᚢᚱ, ᛆᚠᛌᛁᚿᛐᛆᚱ, ᛘᚢᛐᛐᛆᚴᛆᚱ, ᛁᚠᚿᛁ, ᛘᚭᛚᚢᛘᚱᚭᛐᛁ, ᚢᛐᛚᚯᛒ, ᚿᚢᚿᚴᛁ, ᛆᚠᚠᛁᛌᛁᚿᚴ ᚢᚴ ᛆᚢᛐᛁᛐᛚᚢᚴᚴ. ᛘᛆᚱᚴᚿᛆᛐᛌᚠᚯᚱᛁᚿᚴ ᚢᛐᛆᚿ ᛐᛁᛌᛐ ᛐᛁᛚ ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ.",
    "probability_low": 40,
    "probability_high": 65,
    "confidence_class": "C3",
    "base_rate": "ᚿᚢᛁ ᛒᚱᚢᛐᚢᚴᚢᛚᛚ- ᚢᚴ ᛌᛐᛆᚿᛐᛆᚱᛐᛁᛌᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛌᚠᚢᚱᛌᛚᛆᚴ ᚴᚭᚱ ᚢᚠᛐᛁ ᚠᚱᚭ ᚠᚢᚱᛌᚴᛁᚿᚴ ᛐᛁᛚ ᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛆ ᛒᛁᛚᚢᛐ, ᛘᛁᛐᛆᚿ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᚢᛒᛁᚱᛆᛒᛁᛚᛁᛐᛁᛐ ᚢᚴ ᛒᚱᛁᛁ ᛒᚱᚢᛐᚢᚴᛌᛁᚢᚿᛌᛒᚱᚢᚴ ᚴᚱᛁᚠ ᚠᛚᛁᛁᚱᛁ ᚭᚱ ᚢᚴ ᚢᛆᚠᚽᛁᚿᚴᛁᚴ ᛁᛘᛒᛚᛁᛘᛁᚿᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ.",
    "evidence_set": [
        "SRC-023",
        "SRC-310",
        "SRC-018",
        "SRC-315",
        "SRC-316"
    ],
    "assumptions": "ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐ, ᛐᛁᛌᛐᚴᚢᛐᛁ ᚢᚴ ᚽᛁᛌᛐᚢᚱᛁᚴᚴ ᛁᚱ ᛐᛁᛚᚴᛁᛁᚿᚴᛁᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᚠᛁᛐ ᛚᚯᚢᛌᛁᚿᚴ, ᚢᚴ ᚢᚱᛐᛚᚢᛐᛁᚿ ᚴᛆᚿ ᚠᚢᚱᛐᛁᚱᛆᛌᛐ ᚢᛐᛆᚿ ᚭ ᛁᚿᛐᚱᛆ ᚴᚱᛁᛐᛁᚱᛁᛁᛐ.",
    "drivers": "ᚠᛁᚴᛌᛆᚿᛐᛁ ᛆᚴᛁᚿᛐᚠᛁᚱᚴᛐᚯᚢ ᚢᚴ ᛒᛁᚽᚢᚠ ᚠᚢᚱ ᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛆ ᚠᛁᚱᚴᚿᛆᛐ ᚢᚴ ᛌᛒᚢᚱᛒᛆᚱᚽᛁᛁᛐ.",
    "counter_drivers": "ᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᚢᛒᛁᚱᛆᛒᛁᛚᛁᛐᛁᛐᛌᚴᚢᛌᛐᚿᛆᛐ, ᛚᛁᚠᛁᚱᛆᚿᛐᚯᚱᛌᛒᛁᛌᛁᚠᛁᚴᚴᛁ ᚴᚢᚿᛐᚱᚢᛚᛚᛒᛚᛆᚿ ᚢᚴ ᛌᚠᛆᚴᛁ ᛆᚢᛐᚢᚱᛁᛐᛁᛐᛌᛘᚢᛐᛁᛚᛚᛆᚱ.",
    "unknowns": "ᛚᛁᚠᛁᚱᛆᚿᛐᚯᚱᛆᛐᚢᛒᛌᛁᚢᚿ, ᛌᛐᛆᚿᛐᛆᚱᛐᛁᛌᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛌᛘᛆᚿᛐᛆᛐ, ᛐᚢᚴᛁᚿᛁᛌᛁᚱᚢᛐᚠᛁᚴᛚᛁᚿᚴ, ᚱᛁᚴᛁᛌᛐᚱᚢ-ᛒᚢᛚᛁᛐᛁᚴᚴ, ᛐᚱᚢᚴᚴᛁᚿᚴᛌᚽᛁᚿᛐᛁᚿᚴᛆᚱ ᚢᚴ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛌᚠᛁᛚᛁᛁ ᛁᚱ ᚢᚴᛁᛁᚿᛐᛁ.",
    "status": "OPEN",
    "publication_time": "2026-08-16T00:21:00Z",
    "last_review": "2026-08-14",
    "next_review": "2026-11-14",
    "withdrawal_conditions": "ᛐᚱᛁᚴᚴ ᛒᛁᚱᚱᛁ ᛐᛁᚱᛌᚢᛘ ᛌᛒᚯᚱᛌᛘᚭᛚᛁᛐ ᛒᛚᛁᚱ ᛘᚭᛚᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᚢᛘᚢᚴᛚᛁᚴ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛐᛁᚿ ᛐᛁᚠᛁᚿᛁᚱᛐᛁ ᚴᛆᛐᛁᚴᚢᚱᛁᛁᚿ ᛒᛚᛁᚱ ᛆᚠᛌᚴᛆᚠᚠᛆ; ᛒᛁᚠᛆᚱ ᚢᚱᛁᚴᛁᚿᛆᛚ ᚢᚱᛐᛚᚢᛐ ᚢᚴ ᛌᛆᚿᚿᛌᚢᚿ.",
    "final_resolution": null,
    "score": null,
    "correction_status": "NONE",
    "updates": [
        {
            "sequence": 1,
            "time": "2026-08-16T00:21:00Z",
            "probability_low": 40,
            "probability_high": 65,
            "reason": "ᚢᛒᛒᚽᛆᚠᛚᛁᚴ ᛌ09-vurdering ᛒᛆᛌᛁᚱᛐ ᛒᚭ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᛌᛐᛆᚿᛐᛆᚱᛐᛆᚱ ᚢᚴ ᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛆ ᚠᚢᚱᛌᚴᛁᚿᚴᛌᛌᛐᛆᛐᚢᛌ.",
            "previous_hash": "0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000",
            "entry_hash": "314b87f9d615dfc6f1b4b95e9bad9e38856562baf71be6244be6ebcc7f1210f6"
        }
    ],
    "source_ids": [
        "SRC-023",
        "SRC-310",
        "SRC-018",
        "SRC-315",
        "SRC-316"
    ],
    "resolution_source_ids": [],
    "resolution": null,
    "limitations": "ᚠᚱᛆᛘᛌᚢᚿᛁᛐ ᛁᚱ ᛐᛁᛐᛌᛒᚢᚿᛐᛁ ᚢᚴ ᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛆ. ᛐᛁᛐ ᛁᚱ ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ ᛌᛐᛆᚿᛐᛆᚱᛐᚴᚢᛐᚴᛁᛁᚿᚿᛁᚿᚴ, ᛒᚱᚢᛐᚢᚴᛐᛒᛚᛆᚿ, ᛁᚿᚠᛁᛌᛐᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛌᚱᚭᛐ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛒᚭᛌᛐᛆᚿᛐ ᚢᛘ ᛆᛐ ᚠᚢᚦᚢᚱᚴ ᚠᛁᛚ ᛒᛚᛁ ᛆᛐᚢᛒᛐᛁᚱᛐ.",
    "ledger_entry_count": 1,
    "ledger_head_hash": "314b87f9d615dfc6f1b4b95e9bad9e38856562baf71be6244be6ebcc7f1210f6",
    "ledger_hash_method": "SHA-256-CANONICAL-JSON-2",
    "ledger_hash_payload_fields": [
        "forecast_id",
        "sequence",
        "time",
        "probability_low",
        "probability_high",
        "reason_nb",
        "previous_hash",
        "hash_method"
    ],
    "original_question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛘᛁᚿᛌᛐ éᛁ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛘᚢᛚᛐᛁᛆᚴᛁᚿᛐᛒᛚᛆᛐᛐᚠᚢᚱᛘ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2028 ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛆ ᛌᛁᚴᚿᛁᚱᛐ ᛘᛁᛚᛐᛁᚿᚴᛌᚴᚢᚿᚠᚢᛚᚢᛐᛐ ᛘᛁᛐ ᛁᚠᚿᛁ- ᚢᚴ ᛆᚢᛐᚢᚱᛁᛐᛁᛐᛌᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛁᚿᚴ?",
    "original_probability_low": 40,
    "original_probability_high": 65,
    "score_method": "BRIER_INTERVAL_V1",
    "scoring_rule_version": "1.0",
    "resolution_authority": "ᛚᚯᚢᛌᛁᚿᚴ ᚴᚱᛁᚠ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛌᚢᛘ ᚴᛆᚿ ᚴᚢᚿᛐᚱᚢᛚᛚᛁᚱᛆᛌᛐ ᛘᚢᛐ ᛐᛁᛐ ᚢᛒᛒᚽᛆᚠᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᚴᚱᛁᛐᛁᚱᛁᛁᛐ. ᛌ.com ᛌᚴᛆᛒᛁᚱ ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ ᛁᚴᛌᛐᛁᚱᚿ ᛘᚢᚿᛐᛁᚴᚽᛁᛁᛐ.",
    "calibration_bin": "ᛒ40_59"
}