{
    "id": "FC-2026-048",
    "slug": "fc-2026-048",
    "question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛁᛁᛐ ᚠᚯᛐᛁᚱᛆᛚᛐ ᛆᛘᛁᚱᛁᚴᛆᚿᛌᚴ ᛁᚿᛁᚱᚴᛁᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2029 ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛆ ᛘᚭᛚᛒᛆᚱ ᚱᛁᛐᚢᚴᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛁ ᛚᛁᚠᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛌᛐᛁᛐ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚱᛁᛌᛁᚱᚠᛁᚴᛆᛒ ᚠᚢᚱ ᛌᛐᚢᚱᛁ ᛐᚱᛆᚿᛌᚠᚢᚱᛘᛆᛐᚢᚱᛆᚱ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ HALEU?",
    "title": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛁᛁᛐ ᚠᚯᛐᛁᚱᛆᛚᛐ ᛆᛘᛁᚱᛁᚴᛆᚿᛌᚴ ᛁᚿᛁᚱᚴᛁᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2029 ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛆ ᛘᚭᛚᛒᛆᚱ ᚱᛁᛐᚢᚴᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛁ ᛚᛁᚠᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛌᛐᛁᛐ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚱᛁᛌᛁᚱᚠᛁᚴᛆᛒ ᚠᚢᚱ ᛌᛐᚢᚱᛁ ᛐᚱᛆᚿᛌᚠᚢᚱᛘᛆᛐᚢᚱᛆᚱ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ HALEU?",
    "resolution_date": "2029-08-14",
    "resolution_criteria": "ᛁᛁ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᛌᛁᛁᛚᛚ ᚱᛆᛒᛒᚢᚱᛐ ᛘᚭ ᚠᛁᛌᛆ ᛌᛆᛘᛆᚿᛚᛁᚴᚿᛒᛆᚱ ᚴᚱᚢᚿᚿᛚᛁᚿᛁᛁ ᚢᚴ ᚠᛆᚴᛐᛁᛌᚴ ᛚᛁᚠᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴ, ᛒᚱᚢᛐᚢᚴᛌᛁᚢᚿᛌᚴᛆᛒᛆᛌᛁᛐᛁᛐ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚱᛁᛌᛁᚱᚠᛁᛁᚿᛐᚱᛁᚿᚴ. ᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘᚴᚢᚿᚿᚴᛁᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴ ᚢᚴ ᛐᛁᛚᛐᛁᛚᛁᚿᚴ ᚢᛐᛆᚿ ᛚᛁᚠᛁᚱᛆᚿᛌᛁ ᛐᛁᛚ ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ.",
    "probability_low": 35,
    "probability_high": 60,
    "confidence_class": "C3",
    "base_rate": "ᛌᛆᛘᛆᚿᛚᛁᚴᚿᛒᛆᚱᛁ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘ ᚴᚭᚱ ᚢᚠᛐᛁ ᚠᚱᚭ ᚱᛁᛐᛐᛚᛁᛁᛁᚿᚴ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚠᛁᚿᛆᚿᛌᛁᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴ ᛐᛁᛚ ᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛆ ᛐᛁᛘᚢᚿᛌᛐᚱᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᚠᚯᚱ ᛒᚱᛁᛁ, ᛘᚭᛚᛐ ᚢᚴ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛐ ᚴᛁᛁᚿᚿᚢᛘᚠᚯᚱᛁᚿᚴ.",
    "evidence_set": [
        "SRC-278",
        "SRC-280",
        "SRC-281",
        "SRC-282",
        "SRC-283",
        "SRC-284"
    ],
    "assumptions": "ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘ ᚽᛁᛚᛐ ᚠᚱᛆᛘ, ᛐᛁᚠᛁᚿᛁᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᚿᛁ ᚽᛁᛚᛐ ᛌᛁᚴ ᛌᛆᛘᛆᚿᛚᛁᚴᚿᛒᛆᚱᛁ, ᚢᚴ ᚴᚠᛆᛚᛁᚠᛁᛌᛁᚱᛐᛁ ᛒᚱᛁᛘᛅᚱᚴᛁᛁᛚᛐᛁᚱ ᛁᚱ ᛐᛁᛚᚴᛁᛁᚿᚴᛁᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᚠᛁᛐ ᛚᚯᚢᛌᛁᚿᚴ.",
    "drivers": "ᛆᚴᛐᛁᚠᛁ ᚠᚯᛐᛁᚱᛆᛚᛁ ᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘ, ᛐᛁᛚᛐᛁᛚᛁᚿᚴᛆᚱ ᚢᚴ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᛐᛁ ᚠᚢᚱᛌᚢᚿᛁᚿᚴᛌᚠᛚᛆᛌᚴᛁᚽᛆᛚᛌᛆᚱ.",
    "counter_drivers": "ᛒᚱᚢᛐᚢᚴᛌᛁᚢᚿᛌᚴᛆᛒᛆᛌᛁᛐᛁᛐ, ᚴᚠᛆᛚᛁᚠᛁᛌᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴ, ᛐᚱᛆᚿᛌᛒᚢᚱᛐ, ᚴᚢᛌᛐᚿᛆᛐ ᚢᚴ ᚴᛁᚢᛒᚢᛚᛁᛐᛁᛌᚴ ᛁᛐᛐᛁᚱᛌᛒᚢᚱᚿᛆᛐ.",
    "unknowns": "ᛒᚱᚢᛌᛁᛁᚴᛐᚠᛆᛚ, ᛁᚢᚱᛁᛌᛐᛁᚴᛌᛁᚢᚿ, ᛐᚱᚢᚴᚴᛁᚿᚴᛌᚴᚱᛆᛐᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴ, ᚴᚢᛌᛐᚿᛆᛐ, ᛚᛁᚠᛁᚱᛆᚿᛐᚯᚱᚴᛆᛒᛆᛌᛁᛐᛁᛐ, ᛐᛁᚴᚿᛁᛌᚴ ᛘᚢᛐᛁᚿᚽᛁᛁᛐ ᚢᚴ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛌᚠᛁᛚᛁᛁ ᛁᚱ ᚢᚴᛁᛁᚿᛐᛁ.",
    "status": "OPEN",
    "publication_time": "2026-08-15T20:25:00Z",
    "last_review": "2026-08-14",
    "next_review": "2026-11-14",
    "withdrawal_conditions": "ᚠᚱᛆᛘᛌᚢᚿᛁᛐ ᚠᛁᚱᛐ ᛒᛁᚱᚱᛁ ᛐᚱᛁᚴᛐ ᛐᛁᚱᛌᚢᛘ ᛌᛒᚯᚱᛌᛘᚭᛚᛁᛐ ᛒᛚᛁᚱ ᛘᚭᛚᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᚢᛘᚢᚴᛚᛁᚴ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚴᚱᛁᛐᛁᚱᛁᛁᛐ ᚠᚭᚱ ᛁᛁᚿ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᛐ ᛚᚢᚴᛁᛌᚴ ᚠᛁᛁᛚ. ᚢᚱᛁᚴᛁᚿᛆᛚ ᚢᚱᛐᛚᚢᛐ ᚢᚴ ᚽᛁᛌᛐᚢᚱᛁᚴᚴ ᛌᚴᛆᛚ ᛌᛐᚭ.",
    "updates": [
        {
            "time": "2026-08-15T20:25:00Z",
            "probability_low": 35,
            "probability_high": 60,
            "reason": "ᚠᚢᚱᛌᛐᛁ ᛌ08-vurdering ᛒᚭ ᚴᚱᚢᚿᚿᛚᛆᚴ ᛆᚠ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘᛌᛐᛆᛐᚢᛌ, ᚱᛁᚴᚢᛚᛆᛐᚢᚱᛁᛌᚴᛁ ᛌᛒᚢᚱ, ᛌᛆᛘᛆᚿᛚᛁᚴᚿᛒᛆᚱ ᚴᛁᛁᚿᚿᚢᛘᚠᚯᚱᛁᚿᚴ ᚢᚴ ᛌᚢᚿᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᛘᚢᛐᛐᚱᛁᚠᛆᚱᛆᚱ.",
            "sequence": 1,
            "previous_hash": "0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000",
            "entry_hash": "078f9b4daad118821d6c6258862c498a8d8854758f86aa8620b8daefadef5b8f"
        }
    ],
    "resolution": null,
    "score_method": "BRIER_INTERVAL_V1",
    "scoring_rule_version": "1.0",
    "resolution_source_ids": [],
    "resolution_authority": "ᛚᚯᚢᛌᛁᚿᚴ ᚴᚱᛁᚠ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛒᚱᛁᛘᛅᚱᚴᛁᛁᛚᛐᛁ ᚢᚴ ᚱᛁᛒᚱᚢᛐᚢᚴᛁᚱᛒᛆᚱ ᚴᚢᚿᛐᚱᚢᛚᛚ ᛘᚢᛐ ᚢᛒᛒᚽᛆᚠᛚᛁᚴ ᚢᚱᛐᛚᚢᛐ; ᛌ.com ᛌᚴᛆᛒᛁᚱ ᛁᚿᚴᛆ ᛁᚴᛌᛐᛁᚱᚿ ᛘᚢᚿᛐᛁᚴᚽᛁᛁᛐ.",
    "calibration_bin": "ᛒ40_59",
    "correction_status": "NONE",
    "limitations": "ᛐᛁᛐᛐᛁ ᛁᚱ ᛁᛁᛐ ᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛆ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛌᚠᚱᛆᛘᛌᚢᚿ, ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ ᛁᛁ ᛆᚠᚴᛁᛁᚱᛐ, ᛁᚿᚠᛁᛌᛐᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛌᛐᛁᛚᚱᚭᛐᛁᚿᚴ, ᚢᛒᛁᚱᛆᛐᛁᚠ ᛒᛚᛆᚿ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚴᛆᚱᛆᚿᛐᛁ.",
    "ledger_entry_count": 1,
    "ledger_head_hash": "078f9b4daad118821d6c6258862c498a8d8854758f86aa8620b8daefadef5b8f",
    "ledger_hash_method": "SHA-256-CANONICAL-JSON-2",
    "ledger_hash_payload_fields": [
        "forecast_id",
        "sequence",
        "time",
        "probability_low",
        "probability_high",
        "reason_nb",
        "previous_hash",
        "hash_method"
    ],
    "original_question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛁᛁᛐ ᚠᚯᛐᛁᚱᛆᛚᛐ ᛆᛘᛁᚱᛁᚴᛆᚿᛌᚴ ᛁᚿᛁᚱᚴᛁᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2029 ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛆ ᛘᚭᛚᛒᛆᚱ ᚱᛁᛐᚢᚴᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛁ ᛚᛁᚠᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛌᛐᛁᛐ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚱᛁᛌᛁᚱᚠᛁᚴᛆᛒ ᚠᚢᚱ ᛌᛐᚢᚱᛁ ᛐᚱᛆᚿᛌᚠᚢᚱᛘᛆᛐᚢᚱᛆᚱ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ HALEU?",
    "original_probability_low": 35,
    "original_probability_high": 60
}