{
    "id": "FC-2026-047",
    "slug": "fc-2026-047",
    "question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛘᛁᚿᛌᛐ ᛁᛁᛐᛐ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ AI-ᛐᛆᛐᛆᛌᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2030 ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛆ ᛘᚭᛚ ᚠᚢᚱ ᛐᚱᚢᚴᚴ ᛘᛁᚿᛁᛘᚢᛘᛌᛐᚱᛁᚠᛐ ᚠᛁᛐ ᛐᛆᛒ ᛆᚠ ᛒᚱᛁᛘᛅᚱ ᚠᛅᛌᚴᛁᚴᛁᚯᛚᛁᚿᚴ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚠᛆᛐᚿ?",
    "title": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛘᛁᚿᛌᛐ ᛁᛁᛐᛐ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ AI-ᛐᛆᛐᛆᛌᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2030 ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛆ ᛘᚭᛚ ᚠᚢᚱ ᛐᚱᚢᚴᚴ ᛘᛁᚿᛁᛘᚢᛘᛌᛐᚱᛁᚠᛐ ᚠᛁᛐ ᛐᛆᛒ ᛆᚠ ᛒᚱᛁᛘᛅᚱ ᚠᛅᛌᚴᛁᚴᛁᚯᛚᛁᚿᚴ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚠᛆᛐᚿ?",
    "resolution_date": "2030-08-14",
    "resolution_criteria": "ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛁᛐ ᛘᚭ ᚽᛆ ᛐᛁᚠᛁᚿᛁᚱᛐ ᛚᛆᛌᛐ, ᚠᛆᚱᛘᛁᛒᚱᚢᚠᛁᛚ, ᚱᛁᛌᛁᚱᚠᛁ, ᛘᛆᚴᛌᛁᛘᛆᛚ ᛐᛁᛐ, ᚴᚢᚿᛐᚱᚢᛚᛚᛁᚱᛐ ᚿᛁᛐᚴᚯᚢᚱᛁᚿᚴ ᚢᚴ ᚴᛁᛁᚿᚢᛒᛒᛐᛆᚴᛁᚿᚴᛌᚴᚱᛁᛐᛁᚱᛁᚢᛘ. ᚴᛁᚿᛁᚱᛁᛚᛚ ᛒᛁᚱᛁᚴᚱᛆᚠᛐᛌᚱᛆᛒᛒᚢᚱᛐ ᛐᛁᛚ ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ.",
    "probability_low": 30,
    "probability_high": 55,
    "confidence_class": "C3",
    "base_rate": "ᛌᛆᛘᛆᚿᛚᛁᚴᚿᛒᛆᚱᛁ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘ ᚴᚭᚱ ᚢᚠᛐᛁ ᚠᚱᚭ ᚱᛁᛐᛐᛚᛁᛁᛁᚿᚴ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚠᛁᚿᛆᚿᛌᛁᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴ ᛐᛁᛚ ᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛆ ᛐᛁᛘᚢᚿᛌᛐᚱᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᚠᚯᚱ ᛒᚱᛁᛁ, ᛘᚭᛚᛐ ᚢᚴ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛐ ᚴᛁᛁᚿᚿᚢᛘᚠᚯᚱᛁᚿᚴ.",
    "evidence_set": [
        "SRC-274",
        "SRC-275",
        "SRC-276",
        "SRC-277"
    ],
    "assumptions": "ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘ ᚽᛁᛚᛐ ᚠᚱᛆᛘ, ᛐᛁᚠᛁᚿᛁᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᚿᛁ ᚽᛁᛚᛐ ᛌᛁᚴ ᛌᛆᛘᛆᚿᛚᛁᚴᚿᛒᛆᚱᛁ, ᚢᚴ ᚴᚠᛆᛚᛁᚠᛁᛌᛁᚱᛐᛁ ᛒᚱᛁᛘᛅᚱᚴᛁᛁᛚᛐᛁᚱ ᛁᚱ ᛐᛁᛚᚴᛁᛁᚿᚴᛁᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᚠᛁᛐ ᛚᚯᚢᛌᛁᚿᚴ.",
    "drivers": "ᛆᚢᚴᛆᚿᛐᛁ ᛁᚠᚠᛁᚴᛐᛐᛁᛐᚦᛁᛁᛐ, ᚠᛅᛌᚴᛁᚴᛁᚯᛚᛁᚿᚴ ᚢᚴ ᛌᚢᚿᛚᛁᚴ ᚠᛆᛌᛌᛆᚠᚽᛁᚿᚴᚿᛆᛐ.",
    "counter_drivers": "ᛒᚱᚢᛒᚱᛁᛁᛐᛅᚱ ᛐᚱᛁᚠᛐ, ᛚᚢᚴᛆᛚ ᚠᛆᚱᛁᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ, ᛐᚱᚢᚴᚴᛁᚿᚴᛌᚢᛘᛌᚢᚿ ᚢᚴ ᛘᛆᚿᚴᛚᛆᚿᛐᛁ ᛌᛐᛆᚿᛐᛆᚱᛐᛁᛌᛁᚱᛐ ᛘᚭᛚᛁᚠᚢᚱᛘᛆᛐ.",
    "unknowns": "ᛒᚱᚢᛌᛁᛁᚴᛐᚠᛆᛚ, ᛁᚢᚱᛁᛌᛐᛁᚴᛌᛁᚢᚿ, ᛐᚱᚢᚴᚴᛁᚿᚴᛌᚴᚱᛆᛐᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴ, ᚴᚢᛌᛐᚿᛆᛐ, ᛚᛁᚠᛁᚱᛆᚿᛐᚯᚱᚴᛆᛒᛆᛌᛁᛐᛁᛐ, ᛐᛁᚴᚿᛁᛌᚴ ᛘᚢᛐᛁᚿᚽᛁᛁᛐ ᚢᚴ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛌᚠᛁᛚᛁᛁ ᛁᚱ ᚢᚴᛁᛁᚿᛐᛁ.",
    "status": "OPEN",
    "publication_time": "2026-08-15T20:24:00Z",
    "last_review": "2026-08-14",
    "next_review": "2026-11-14",
    "withdrawal_conditions": "ᚠᚱᛆᛘᛌᚢᚿᛁᛐ ᚠᛁᚱᛐ ᛒᛁᚱᚱᛁ ᛐᚱᛁᚴᛐ ᛐᛁᚱᛌᚢᛘ ᛌᛒᚯᚱᛌᛘᚭᛚᛁᛐ ᛒᛚᛁᚱ ᛘᚭᛚᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᚢᛘᚢᚴᛚᛁᚴ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚴᚱᛁᛐᛁᚱᛁᛁᛐ ᚠᚭᚱ ᛁᛁᚿ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᛐ ᛚᚢᚴᛁᛌᚴ ᚠᛁᛁᛚ. ᚢᚱᛁᚴᛁᚿᛆᛚ ᚢᚱᛐᛚᚢᛐ ᚢᚴ ᚽᛁᛌᛐᚢᚱᛁᚴᚴ ᛌᚴᛆᛚ ᛌᛐᚭ.",
    "updates": [
        {
            "time": "2026-08-15T20:24:00Z",
            "probability_low": 30,
            "probability_high": 55,
            "reason": "ᚠᚢᚱᛌᛐᛁ ᛌ08-vurdering ᛒᚭ ᚴᚱᚢᚿᚿᛚᛆᚴ ᛆᚠ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘᛌᛐᛆᛐᚢᛌ, ᚱᛁᚴᚢᛚᛆᛐᚢᚱᛁᛌᚴᛁ ᛌᛒᚢᚱ, ᛌᛆᛘᛆᚿᛚᛁᚴᚿᛒᛆᚱ ᚴᛁᛁᚿᚿᚢᛘᚠᚯᚱᛁᚿᚴ ᚢᚴ ᛌᚢᚿᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᛘᚢᛐᛐᚱᛁᚠᛆᚱᛆᚱ.",
            "sequence": 1,
            "previous_hash": "0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000",
            "entry_hash": "5f4464b1fc112d12341a7c547f8616dc0f0b1ac7f2b34e2587a4b6d944766b44"
        }
    ],
    "resolution": null,
    "score_method": "BRIER_INTERVAL_V1",
    "scoring_rule_version": "1.0",
    "resolution_source_ids": [],
    "resolution_authority": "ᛚᚯᚢᛌᛁᚿᚴ ᚴᚱᛁᚠ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛒᚱᛁᛘᛅᚱᚴᛁᛁᛚᛐᛁ ᚢᚴ ᚱᛁᛒᚱᚢᛐᚢᚴᛁᚱᛒᛆᚱ ᚴᚢᚿᛐᚱᚢᛚᛚ ᛘᚢᛐ ᚢᛒᛒᚽᛆᚠᛚᛁᚴ ᚢᚱᛐᛚᚢᛐ; ᛌ.com ᛌᚴᛆᛒᛁᚱ ᛁᚿᚴᛆ ᛁᚴᛌᛐᛁᚱᚿ ᛘᚢᚿᛐᛁᚴᚽᛁᛁᛐ.",
    "calibration_bin": "ᛒ40_59",
    "correction_status": "NONE",
    "limitations": "ᛐᛁᛐᛐᛁ ᛁᚱ ᛁᛁᛐ ᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛆ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛌᚠᚱᛆᛘᛌᚢᚿ, ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ ᛁᛁ ᛆᚠᚴᛁᛁᚱᛐ, ᛁᚿᚠᛁᛌᛐᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛌᛐᛁᛚᚱᚭᛐᛁᚿᚴ, ᚢᛒᛁᚱᛆᛐᛁᚠ ᛒᛚᛆᚿ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚴᛆᚱᛆᚿᛐᛁ.",
    "ledger_entry_count": 1,
    "ledger_head_hash": "5f4464b1fc112d12341a7c547f8616dc0f0b1ac7f2b34e2587a4b6d944766b44",
    "ledger_hash_method": "SHA-256-CANONICAL-JSON-2",
    "ledger_hash_payload_fields": [
        "forecast_id",
        "sequence",
        "time",
        "probability_low",
        "probability_high",
        "reason_nb",
        "previous_hash",
        "hash_method"
    ],
    "original_question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛘᛁᚿᛌᛐ ᛁᛁᛐᛐ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ AI-ᛐᛆᛐᛆᛌᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2030 ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛆ ᛘᚭᛚ ᚠᚢᚱ ᛐᚱᚢᚴᚴ ᛘᛁᚿᛁᛘᚢᛘᛌᛐᚱᛁᚠᛐ ᚠᛁᛐ ᛐᛆᛒ ᛆᚠ ᛒᚱᛁᛘᛅᚱ ᚠᛅᛌᚴᛁᚴᛁᚯᛚᛁᚿᚴ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚠᛆᛐᚿ?",
    "original_probability_low": 30,
    "original_probability_high": 55
}