{
    "id": "FC-2026-032",
    "slug": "fc-2026-032",
    "question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᚢᛒᛁᚿID ᚠᛁᛐᛁᚱᛆᛐᛁᚢᚿ 1.1 ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛁᛁᚿ ᛁᛐᛐᛁᚱᚠᚯᛚᚴᛁᛆᚱ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2028 ᚠᛁᚱᛆ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᚴᚱᛆᚠᛐ ᛁ ᛘᛁᚿᛌᛐ ᛐᚱᛁ ᚿᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᛚᛁ ᛐᛁᚴᛁᛐᛆᛚᛁ ᛁᛐᛁᚿᛐᛁᛐᛁᛐᛌ- ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛚᚢᛘᛘᛁᛒᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘᛘᛁᚠᛁᚱᚴ?",
    "title": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᚢᛒᛁᚿID ᚠᛁᛐᛁᚱᛆᛐᛁᚢᚿ 1.1 ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛁᛁᚿ ᛁᛐᛐᛁᚱᚠᚯᛚᚴᛁᛆᚱ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2028 ᚠᛁᚱᛆ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᚴᚱᛆᚠᛐ ᛁ ᛘᛁᚿᛌᛐ ᛐᚱᛁ ᚿᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᛚᛁ ᛐᛁᚴᛁᛐᛆᛚᛁ ᛁᛐᛁᚿᛐᛁᛐᛁᛐᛌ- ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛚᚢᛘᛘᛁᛒᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘᛘᛁᚠᛁᚱᚴ?",
    "resolution_date": "2028-08-14",
    "resolution_criteria": "ᛘᛁᚿᛌᛐ ᛐᚱᛁ ᚿᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᛚᛁ ᛆᚢᛐᚢᚱᛁᛌᛁᚱᛐᛁ ᚱᛆᛘᛘᛁᚠᛁᚱᚴ ᛘᚭ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᚴᚱᛁᚠᛁᛆ ᚢᛒᛁᚿID ᚠᛁᛐᛁᚱᛆᛐᛁᚢᚿ 1.1 ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛁᛁᚿ ᛁᚴᛌᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᛐᛐ ᛁᛐᛐᛁᚱᚠᚯᛚᚴᛁᛆᚱ ᚠᚢᚱ ᛐᛁᚠᛁᚿᛁᚱᛐᛁ ᛒᚱᚢᛐᚢᚴᛌᛁᚢᚿᛌᚱᛁᛚᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᚱ. ᛒᛁᛚᚢᛐ, ᚠᛆᛚᚠᚱᛁ ᛌᛐᚯᛐᛐᛁ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛒᚱᛁᚠᛆᛐ ᛚᛁᚠᛁᚱᛆᚿᛐᚯᚱᛒᚭᛌᛐᛆᚿᛐ ᛐᛁᛚ ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ.",
    "probability_low": 40,
    "probability_high": 65,
    "confidence_class": "C3",
    "base_rate": "ᚠᚯᛐᛁᚱᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛌᛌᛐᛆᚿᛐᛆᚱᛐᛆᚱ ᚴᛆᚿ ᛌᛒᚱᛁᛁᛆ ᚴᛁᛁᚿᚿᚢᛘ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᛒᚱᚢᚠᛁᛚᚴᚱᛆᚠ, ᛘᛁᚿ ᚿᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᛚᛁ ᛆᚱᚴᛁᛐᛁᚴᛐᚢᚱᛆᚱ ᚢᚴ ᚢᚠᛁᚱᚴᛆᚿᚴᛌᛐᛁᛐᛁᚱ ᚠᛆᚱᛁᛁᚱᛁᚱ.",
    "evidence_set": [
        "SRC-199",
        "SRC-200",
        "SRC-202"
    ],
    "assumptions": "ᛐᛁᛁ ᛆᚴᛐᚢᛁᛚᛚᛁ ᛌᛒᛁᛌᛁᚠᛁᚴᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᚿᛁ ᚽᛁᛚᛐ ᛁᚿᛐᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᛌᛐᛆᛐᚢᛌ ᚢᚴ ᚿᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᛚᛁ ᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘ ᚽᛁᛚᛐ ᚠᚱᛆᛘ.",
    "drivers": "ᛒᛁᚽᚢᚠ ᚠᚢᚱ ᛐᚢᚿᛆᛘᛁᛌᚴ ᛐᛁᛚᛚᛁᛐ, ᛚᚢᛘᛘᛁᛒᚢᚴᚯᚴᚢᛌᚢᛌᛐᛁᛘ ᚢᚴ ᛘᛁᛐᛆᛐᛆᛐᛆᚠᚢᚱᚠᛆᛚᛐᚿᛁᚿᚴ.",
    "counter_drivers": "ᛆᛚᛐᛁᚱᚿᛆᛐᛁᚠᛁ ᛐᛁᛚᛚᛁᛐᛌᛘᚢᛐᛁᛚᛚᛆᚱ, ᚠᚢᚱᛌᛁᛁᚿᚴᛆ ᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘ, ᚿᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᛚᛁ ᛆᚠᚠᛁᚴ ᚢᚴ ᛚᛁᚠᛁᚱᛆᚿᛐᚯᚱᛚᚭᛌᛁᚿᚴ.",
    "unknowns": "ᚴᚢᛘᛆᚿᛐᛁ ᚿᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᛚᛁ ᛒᚱᚢᚠᛁᛚᚠᛆᛚ ᚢᚴ ᛐᛁᛐᛌᛒᛚᛆᚿᛆᚱ ᛁᚱ ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ ᚴᛁᛁᚿᛐᛁ.",
    "status": "OPEN",
    "publication_time": "2026-08-15T14:31:00Z",
    "last_review": "2026-08-14",
    "next_review": "2026-11-14",
    "withdrawal_conditions": "ᚠᚱᛆᛘᛌᚢᚿᛁᛐ ᚠᛁᚱᛐ ᛒᛁᚱᚱᛁ ᛐᚱᛁᚴᛐ ᛐᛁᚱᛌᚢᛘ ᛌᛒᚯᚱᛌᛘᚭᛚᛁᛐ ᛒᛚᛁᚱ ᛘᚭᛚᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᚢᛘᚢᚴᛚᛁᚴ, ᛁᚿᛌᛐᛁᛐᚢᛌᛁᚢᚿᛁᚿ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᚠᛆᛘᛁᛚᛁᛁᚿ ᛒᛚᛁᚱ ᛆᚠᚠᛁᚴᛚᛆ, ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚴᚱᛁᛐᛁᚱᛁᛁᛐ ᚠᚭᚱ ᛁᛁᚿ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᛐ ᛚᚢᚴᛁᛌᚴ ᚠᛁᛁᛚ. ᚢᚱᛁᚴᛁᚿᛆᛚ ᚢᚱᛐᛚᚢᛐ ᚢᚴ ᚽᛁᛌᛐᚢᚱᛁᚴᚴ ᛌᚴᛆᛚ ᛌᛐᚭ.",
    "updates": [
        {
            "time": "2026-08-15T14:31:00Z",
            "probability_low": 40,
            "probability_high": 65,
            "reason": "ᚠᚢᚱᛌᛐᛁ ᛌ06-vurdering ᛒᚭ ᚴᚱᚢᚿᚿᛚᛆᚴ ᛆᚠ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛌᛐᛆᛐᚢᛌ, ᛌᛆᛘᛆᚿᛚᛁᚴᚿᛒᛆᚱ ᛁᚿᛌᛐᛁᛐᚢᛌᛁᚢᚿᛁᛚᛚ ᛒᚱᚢᛌᛁᛌᛌ ᚢᚴ ᛌᚢᚿᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᛘᚢᛐᛐᚱᛁᚠᛆᚱᛆᚱ.",
            "sequence": 1,
            "previous_hash": "0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000",
            "entry_hash": "a84d063550bea047e6b9741017ad2925cc397ad37ff8a6088a9abb91124a9b22"
        }
    ],
    "resolution": null,
    "score_method": "BRIER_INTERVAL_V1",
    "scoring_rule_version": "1.0",
    "resolution_source_ids": [],
    "resolution_authority": "ᛚᚯᚢᛌᛁᚿᚴ ᚴᚱᛁᚠ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛒᚱᛁᛘᛅᚱᚴᛁᛁᛚᛐᛁ ᚢᚴ ᚱᛁᛒᚱᚢᛐᚢᚴᛁᚱᛒᛆᚱ ᚴᚢᚿᛐᚱᚢᛚᛚ ᛘᚢᛐ ᛐᛁᚿ ᚢᛒᛒᚽᛆᚠᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᚢᚱᛐᛚᚢᛐᛁᚿ; ᛌ.com ᛌᚴᛆᛒᛁᚱ ᛁᚿᚴᛆ ᛁᚴᛌᛐᛁᚱᚿ ᛘᚢᚿᛐᛁᚴᚽᛁᛁᛐ.",
    "calibration_bin": "ᛒ40_59",
    "correction_status": "NONE",
    "limitations": "ᛐᛁᛐᛐᛁ ᛁᚱ ᛁᛁᛐ ᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛆ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛌᚠᚱᛆᛘᛌᚢᚿ, ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ ᛁᛁ ᛆᚠᚴᛁᛁᚱᛐ, ᚴᛆᚱᛆᚿᛐᛁ ᚠᚢᚱ ᛁᛘᛒᛚᛁᛘᛁᚿᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛌᛒᚭᛐᚢᛘ ᚢᛘ ᚠᛆᚴᛐᛁᛌᚴ ᚱᛁᛌᛁᚴᚢ.",
    "ledger_entry_count": 1,
    "ledger_head_hash": "a84d063550bea047e6b9741017ad2925cc397ad37ff8a6088a9abb91124a9b22",
    "ledger_hash_method": "SHA-256-CANONICAL-JSON-2",
    "ledger_hash_payload_fields": [
        "forecast_id",
        "sequence",
        "time",
        "probability_low",
        "probability_high",
        "reason_nb",
        "previous_hash",
        "hash_method"
    ],
    "original_question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᚢᛒᛁᚿID ᚠᛁᛐᛁᚱᛆᛐᛁᚢᚿ 1.1 ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛁᛁᚿ ᛁᛐᛐᛁᚱᚠᚯᛚᚴᛁᛆᚱ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2028 ᚠᛁᚱᛆ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᚴᚱᛆᚠᛐ ᛁ ᛘᛁᚿᛌᛐ ᛐᚱᛁ ᚿᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᛚᛁ ᛐᛁᚴᛁᛐᛆᛚᛁ ᛁᛐᛁᚿᛐᛁᛐᛁᛐᛌ- ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛚᚢᛘᛘᛁᛒᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘᛘᛁᚠᛁᚱᚴ?",
    "original_probability_low": 40,
    "original_probability_high": 65
}