{
    "id": "FC-2026-030",
    "slug": "fc-2026-030",
    "question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛆᛘᛁᚱᛁᚴᛆᚿᛌᚴᛁ ᚠᚯᛐᛁᚱᛆᛚᛁ ᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘᚠᛆᚱᛁᛁᚿᚿᚴᛁᚯᛒ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2027 ᚴᚱᛁᚠᛁᛆ ᛁᛁ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᚱᛁᚠᛁᛐᛁᚱᛐ ᛆᛐᛐᛁᛌᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛌᚢᛘ ᚢᛐᛐᚱᚢᚴᚴᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᚢᛘᚠᛆᛐᛐᛆᚱ ᚴᛁᚿᛁᚱᛆᛐᛁᚠᛁ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚠᛚᛁᛁᚱᛒᚱᚢᚴᛌ ᚴᚱᚢᚿᚿᛘᚢᛐᛁᛚᛚᛆᚱ?",
    "title": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛆᛘᛁᚱᛁᚴᛆᚿᛌᚴᛁ ᚠᚯᛐᛁᚱᛆᛚᛁ ᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘᚠᛆᚱᛁᛁᚿᚿᚴᛁᚯᛒ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2027 ᚴᚱᛁᚠᛁᛆ ᛁᛁ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᚱᛁᚠᛁᛐᛁᚱᛐ ᛆᛐᛐᛁᛌᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛌᚢᛘ ᚢᛐᛐᚱᚢᚴᚴᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᚢᛘᚠᛆᛐᛐᛆᚱ ᚴᛁᚿᛁᚱᛆᛐᛁᚠᛁ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚠᛚᛁᛁᚱᛒᚱᚢᚴᛌ ᚴᚱᚢᚿᚿᛘᚢᛐᛁᛚᛚᛆᚱ?",
    "resolution_date": "2027-08-14",
    "resolution_criteria": "CISA, OMB ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛁᛁᛐ ᛆᚿᚿᛆ ᛆᚢᛐᚢᚱᛁᛌᛁᚱᛐ ᚠᚯᛐᛁᚱᛆᛚᛐ ᚢᚱᚴᛆᚿ ᛘᚭ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛆ ᛒᛁᚿᛐᛆᚿᛐᛁ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚠᚢᚱᛘᛁᛚᛐ ᛌᛐᛆᚿᛐᛆᚱᛐᛁᛌᛁᚱᛐ ᛆᛐᛐᛁᛌᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛌᛌᚴᛁᛁᛘᛆ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚠᛁᛐᛚᛁᚴᚴ ᛌᚢᛘ ᚢᛐᛐᚱᚢᚴᚴᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᚢᛘᚠᛆᛐᛐᛆᚱ ᚴᛁᚿᛁᚱᛆᛐᛁᚠᛁ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚠᛚᛁᛁᚱᛒᚱᚢᚴᛌ ᚴᚱᚢᚿᚿᛘᚢᛐᛁᛚᛚᛆᚱ. ᚱᛁᛐᛐᛚᛁᛁᛁᚿᚴ ᚢᛐᛆᚿ ᛆᛐᛐᛁᛌᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛌᛌᚴᛁᛁᛘᛆ ᛐᛁᛚ ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ.",
    "probability_low": 35,
    "probability_high": 60,
    "confidence_class": "C3",
    "base_rate": "SSDF-ᛒᚱᚢᚠᛁᛚᛁᚿ ᚴᛁᚱ ᚠᛆᚴᛚᛁᚴ ᚴᚱᚢᚿᚿᛚᛆᚴ, ᛘᛁᚿ ᛁᚿᚿᚴᛁᚯᛒᛌᛌᚴᛁᛁᛘᛆ ᛒᛚᛁᚱ ᚢᚠᛐᛁ ᚱᛁᚠᛁᛐᛁᚱᛐᛁ ᛌᛆᚴᛐᛁ ᚢᚴ ᚴᛆᚿ ᚽᛆᛚᛐᛆ ᛘᚢᛐᛁᛚᛚᛁᚿ ᛁ ᚱᛁᛐᛐᛚᛁᛁᛁᚿᚴᛌᛚᛆᚴᛁᛐ.",
    "evidence_set": [
        "SRC-178",
        "SRC-179"
    ],
    "assumptions": "ᚠᚯᛐᛁᚱᛆᛚ ᛆᛐᛐᛁᛌᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛌᛐᚭᚱ ᚠᛁᛐ ᛚᛆᚴ ᚢᚴ ᛘᚢᛐᛁᛚᛚᛌᛒᛁᛌᛁᚠᛁᚴᚴᛁ ᚱᛁᛌᛁᚴᚢᛆᚱ ᛒᛚᛁᚱ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚱᛒᛁᛁᛐᛐᛁ ᛁ ᛁᚿᚿᚴᛁᚯᛒᛌᛒᚱᚢᛌᛁᛌᛌᛁᚿ.",
    "drivers": "SP 800-218A, ᛚᛁᚠᛁᚱᛆᚿᛐᚯᚱᛆᚿᛌᚠᛆᚱ ᚢᚴ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛘᛁᚱᚴᛌᛁᛘᛐ ᚢᛘ ᛘᚢᛐᛁᛚᛚᚠᚢᚱᛌᚢᚿᛁᚿᚴ.",
    "counter_drivers": "ᛆᛐᛘᛁᚿᛁᛌᛐᚱᛆᛐᛁᚠ ᛁᚿᛐᚱᛁᚿᚴ, ᛐᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴ, ᛒᚢᚱᛐᛁ, ᛆᚿᚿᛆᚿ ᚴᚢᚿᛐᚱᚢᛚᛚᛘᛁᚴᛆᚿᛁᛌᛘᛁ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛘᛁᚿᛐᚱᛁ ᛒᚱᚢᚴ ᛆᚠ ᛁᛁᚴᛁᚿᛆᛐᛐᛁᛌᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ.",
    "unknowns": "ᛒᛚᛆᚿ ᚠᚢᚱ ᛌᚴᛁᛁᛘᛆᚱᛁᚠᛁᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᚢᚴ ᛆᚢᛐᚢᚱᛁᛌᛁᚱᛐ ᛁᛁᚴᛆᚱ ᛁᚱ ᚢᚴᛁᛁᚿᛐ.",
    "status": "OPEN",
    "publication_time": "2026-08-15T04:25:00Z",
    "last_review": "2026-08-14",
    "next_review": "2026-11-14",
    "withdrawal_conditions": "ᚠᚱᛆᛘᛌᚢᚿᛁᛐ ᚠᛁᚱᛐ ᛒᛁᚱᚱᛁ ᛐᚱᛁᚴᛐ ᛐᛁᚱᛌᚢᛘ ᛌᛒᚯᚱᛌᛘᚭᛚᛁᛐ ᛒᛚᛁᚱ ᛘᚭᛚᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᚢᛘᚢᚴᛚᛁᚴ, ᛁᚿᛌᛐᛁᛐᚢᛌᛁᚢᚿᛁᚿ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᚠᛆᛘᛁᛚᛁᛁᚿ ᛒᛚᛁᚱ ᛆᚠᚠᛁᚴᛚᛆ, ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚴᚱᛁᛐᛁᚱᛁᛁᛐ ᚠᚭᚱ ᛁᛁᚿ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᛐ ᛚᚢᚴᛁᛌᚴ ᚠᛁᛁᛚ. ᚢᚱᛁᚴᛁᚿᛆᛚ ᚢᚱᛐᛚᚢᛐ ᚢᚴ ᚽᛁᛌᛐᚢᚱᛁᚴᚴ ᛌᚴᛆᛚ ᛌᛐᚭ.",
    "updates": [
        {
            "time": "2026-08-15T04:25:00Z",
            "probability_low": 35,
            "probability_high": 60,
            "reason": "ᚠᚢᚱᛌᛐᛁ ᛌ05-vurdering ᛒᚭ ᚴᚱᚢᚿᚿᛚᛆᚴ ᛆᚠ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛌᛐᛆᛐᚢᛌ, ᛌᛆᛘᛆᚿᛚᛁᚴᚿᛒᛆᚱ ᛁᚿᛌᛐᛁᛐᚢᛌᛁᚢᚿᛁᛚᛚ ᛒᚱᚢᛌᛁᛌᛌ ᚢᚴ ᛌᚢᚿᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᛘᚢᛐᛐᚱᛁᚠᛆᚱᛆᚱ.",
            "sequence": 1,
            "previous_hash": "0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000",
            "entry_hash": "05b59999135e707a67dac6f0974cd3875ff62c3b6c9a39b11fbad3bc02141791"
        }
    ],
    "resolution": null,
    "score_method": "BRIER_INTERVAL_V1",
    "scoring_rule_version": "1.0",
    "resolution_source_ids": [],
    "resolution_authority": "ᛚᚯᚢᛌᛁᚿᚴ ᚴᚱᛁᚠ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛒᚱᛁᛘᛅᚱᚴᛁᛁᛚᛐᛁ ᚢᚴ ᚱᛁᛒᚱᚢᛐᚢᚴᛁᚱᛒᛆᚱ ᚴᚢᚿᛐᚱᚢᛚᛚ ᛘᚢᛐ ᛐᛁᚿ ᚢᛒᛒᚽᛆᚠᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᚢᚱᛐᛚᚢᛐᛁᚿ; ᛌ.com ᛌᚴᛆᛒᛁᚱ ᛁᚿᚴᛆ ᛁᚴᛌᛐᛁᚱᚿ ᛘᚢᚿᛐᛁᚴᚽᛁᛁᛐ.",
    "calibration_bin": "ᛒ40_59",
    "correction_status": "NONE",
    "limitations": "ᛐᛁᛐᛐᛁ ᛁᚱ ᛁᛁᛐ ᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛆ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛌᚠᚱᛆᛘᛌᚢᚿ, ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ ᛁᛁ ᛆᚠᚴᛁᛁᚱᛐ, ᚴᛆᚱᛆᚿᛐᛁ ᚠᚢᚱ ᛁᛘᛒᛚᛁᛘᛁᚿᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛌᛒᚭᛐᚢᛘ ᚢᛘ ᚠᛆᚴᛐᛁᛌᚴ ᚱᛁᛌᛁᚴᚢ.",
    "ledger_entry_count": 1,
    "ledger_head_hash": "05b59999135e707a67dac6f0974cd3875ff62c3b6c9a39b11fbad3bc02141791",
    "ledger_hash_method": "SHA-256-CANONICAL-JSON-2",
    "ledger_hash_payload_fields": [
        "forecast_id",
        "sequence",
        "time",
        "probability_low",
        "probability_high",
        "reason_nb",
        "previous_hash",
        "hash_method"
    ],
    "original_question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛆᛘᛁᚱᛁᚴᛆᚿᛌᚴᛁ ᚠᚯᛐᛁᚱᛆᛚᛁ ᛒᚱᚢᚴᚱᛆᛘᚠᛆᚱᛁᛁᚿᚿᚴᛁᚯᛒ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2027 ᚴᚱᛁᚠᛁᛆ ᛁᛁ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᚱᛁᚠᛁᛐᛁᚱᛐ ᛆᛐᛐᛁᛌᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛌᚢᛘ ᚢᛐᛐᚱᚢᚴᚴᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᚢᛘᚠᛆᛐᛐᛆᚱ ᚴᛁᚿᛁᚱᛆᛐᛁᚠᛁ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚠᛚᛁᛁᚱᛒᚱᚢᚴᛌ ᚴᚱᚢᚿᚿᛘᚢᛐᛁᛚᛚᛆᚱ?",
    "original_probability_low": 35,
    "original_probability_high": 60
}