{
    "id": "FC-2026-027",
    "slug": "fc-2026-027",
    "question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᚠ3ᚴ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛆ ᚴᚢᚿᚠᛁᛐᛁᚿᚴᛁ ᛘᛁᚦᚢᛐ ᛌᚢᛘ ᚴᛆᚿᛐᛁᛐᛆᛐ- ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛁᚿᛐᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᚱᛁᚴᚢᛘᛘᛆᚿᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2028?",
    "title": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᚠ3ᚴ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛆ ᚴᚢᚿᚠᛁᛐᛁᚿᚴᛁ ᛘᛁᚦᚢᛐ ᛌᚢᛘ ᚴᛆᚿᛐᛁᛐᛆᛐ- ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛁᚿᛐᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᚱᛁᚴᚢᛘᛘᛆᚿᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2028?",
    "resolution_date": "2028-08-14",
    "resolution_criteria": "ᚠ3ᚴ ᛘᚭ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛆ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛁᛐ ᛌᚢᛘ ᚴᛆᚿᛐᛁᛐᛆᛐᛁ ᚱᛁᚴᚢᛘᛘᛁᚿᛐᛆᛐᛁᚢᚿ ᛌᚿᛆᛒᛌᚽᚢᛐ, ᛒᚱᚢᛒᚢᛌᛁᛐ ᚱᛁᚴᚢᛘᛘᛁᚿᛐᛆᛐᛁᚢᚿ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚱᛁᚴᚢᛘᛘᛁᚿᛐᛆᛐᛁᚢᚿ. ᚿᚢᛁ ᛆᚱᛒᛁᛁᛐᛌᚢᛐᚴᛆᛌᛐ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚴᚱᚢᛒᛒᛁᚿᚢᛐᛆᛐ ᛐᛁᛚ ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ.",
    "probability_low": 30,
    "probability_high": 55,
    "confidence_class": "C3",
    "base_rate": "ᛘᛆᚿᚴᛁ ᛆᚱᛒᛁᛁᛐᛌᚢᛐᚴᛆᛌᛐ ᚿᚭᚱ ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ ᚱᛁᚴᚢᛘᛘᛆᚿᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛌᛌᛐᛆᛐᚢᛌ, ᛌᛅᚱᛚᛁᚴ ᚿᚭᚱ ᛌᛁᛘᛆᚿᛐᛁᚴᚴ, ᛒᛁᚱᛌᚢᚿᚠᛁᚱᚿ ᚢᚴ ᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᚢᛒᛁᚱᛆᛒᛁᛚᛁᛐᛁᛐ ᛁᚱ ᚢᛆᚠᚴᛚᛆᚱᛆ.",
    "evidence_set": [
        "SRC-017",
        "SRC-013",
        "SRC-014"
    ],
    "assumptions": "ᛆᚱᛒᛁᛁᛐᛌᚴᚱᚢᛒᛒᛆ ᚽᛁᛚᛐ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛁᛐ ᛆᚴᛐᛁᚠᛐ ᚢᚴ ᚠᚭᚱ ᛁᛘᛒᛚᛁᛘᛁᚿᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛌ- ᚢᚴ ᛌᛆᛘᛌᚠᛆᚱᛌᛁᚠᛁᛐᛁᚿᛌ.",
    "drivers": "ᛒᛁᚽᚢᚠ ᚠᚢᚱ ᚢᛐᛐᚱᚢᚴᛐ ᛐᛁᛚᛚᛁᛐ, ᛒᚱᚢᚠᛁᛚᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴ ᚢᚴ ᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᚢᛒᛁᚱᛆᛒᛁᛚ ᛚᛁᚴᛁᛐᛁᛘᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ.",
    "counter_drivers": "ᛌᛁᛘᛆᚿᛐᛁᛌᚴ ᚢᛌᛁᛘᛁᛁ, ᛒᛁᚱᛌᚢᚿᚠᛁᚱᚿᚠᛆᚱᛁ, ᛘᛆᚿᚴᛚᛆᚿᛐᛁ ᛁᛘᛒᛚᛁᛘᛁᚿᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛁᚿᚴ ᛐᛁᛚ ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ-ᚿᚢᚱᛘᛆᛐᛁᚠ ᚱᛁᛐᛐᛚᛁᛁᛁᚿᚴ.",
    "unknowns": "ᛆᚱᛒᛁᛁᛐᛌᚴᚱᚢᛒᛒᛁᛌᛐᛆᛐᚢᛌ, ᛐᛁᛌᛐᛐᛁᚴᚿᛁᚿᚴ ᚢᚴ ᚠᚱᛆᛘᛐᛁᛐᛁᚴ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛒᛆᚿᛁ ᛁᚱ ᚢᚴᛁᛁᚿᛐᛁ.",
    "status": "OPEN",
    "publication_time": "2026-08-15T04:22:00Z",
    "last_review": "2026-08-14",
    "next_review": "2026-11-14",
    "withdrawal_conditions": "ᚠᚱᛆᛘᛌᚢᚿᛁᛐ ᚠᛁᚱᛐ ᛒᛁᚱᚱᛁ ᛐᚱᛁᚴᛐ ᛐᛁᚱᛌᚢᛘ ᛌᛒᚯᚱᛌᛘᚭᛚᛁᛐ ᛒᛚᛁᚱ ᛘᚭᛚᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᚢᛘᚢᚴᛚᛁᚴ, ᛁᚿᛌᛐᛁᛐᚢᛌᛁᚢᚿᛁᚿ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᚠᛆᛘᛁᛚᛁᛁᚿ ᛒᛚᛁᚱ ᛆᚠᚠᛁᚴᛚᛆ, ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚴᚱᛁᛐᛁᚱᛁᛁᛐ ᚠᚭᚱ ᛁᛁᚿ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᛐ ᛚᚢᚴᛁᛌᚴ ᚠᛁᛁᛚ. ᚢᚱᛁᚴᛁᚿᛆᛚ ᚢᚱᛐᛚᚢᛐ ᚢᚴ ᚽᛁᛌᛐᚢᚱᛁᚴᚴ ᛌᚴᛆᛚ ᛌᛐᚭ.",
    "updates": [
        {
            "time": "2026-08-15T04:22:00Z",
            "probability_low": 30,
            "probability_high": 55,
            "reason": "ᚠᚢᚱᛌᛐᛁ ᛌ05-vurdering ᛒᚭ ᚴᚱᚢᚿᚿᛚᛆᚴ ᛆᚠ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛌᛐᛆᛐᚢᛌ, ᛌᛆᛘᛆᚿᛚᛁᚴᚿᛒᛆᚱ ᛁᚿᛌᛐᛁᛐᚢᛌᛁᚢᚿᛁᛚᛚ ᛒᚱᚢᛌᛁᛌᛌ ᚢᚴ ᛌᚢᚿᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᛘᚢᛐᛐᚱᛁᚠᛆᚱᛆᚱ.",
            "sequence": 1,
            "previous_hash": "0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000",
            "entry_hash": "c549aa293ed165823482e31672ed37d823b81a3389a76854e1e6ac832b3becbf"
        }
    ],
    "resolution": null,
    "score_method": "BRIER_INTERVAL_V1",
    "scoring_rule_version": "1.0",
    "resolution_source_ids": [],
    "resolution_authority": "ᛚᚯᚢᛌᛁᚿᚴ ᚴᚱᛁᚠ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛒᚱᛁᛘᛅᚱᚴᛁᛁᛚᛐᛁ ᚢᚴ ᚱᛁᛒᚱᚢᛐᚢᚴᛁᚱᛒᛆᚱ ᚴᚢᚿᛐᚱᚢᛚᛚ ᛘᚢᛐ ᛐᛁᚿ ᚢᛒᛒᚽᛆᚠᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᚢᚱᛐᛚᚢᛐᛁᚿ; ᛌ.com ᛌᚴᛆᛒᛁᚱ ᛁᚿᚴᛆ ᛁᚴᛌᛐᛁᚱᚿ ᛘᚢᚿᛐᛁᚴᚽᛁᛁᛐ.",
    "calibration_bin": "ᛒ40_59",
    "correction_status": "NONE",
    "limitations": "ᛐᛁᛐᛐᛁ ᛁᚱ ᛁᛁᛐ ᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛆ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛌᚠᚱᛆᛘᛌᚢᚿ, ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ ᛁᛁ ᛆᚠᚴᛁᛁᚱᛐ, ᚴᛆᚱᛆᚿᛐᛁ ᚠᚢᚱ ᛁᛘᛒᛚᛁᛘᛁᚿᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛌᛒᚭᛐᚢᛘ ᚢᛘ ᚠᛆᚴᛐᛁᛌᚴ ᚱᛁᛌᛁᚴᚢ.",
    "ledger_entry_count": 1,
    "ledger_head_hash": "c549aa293ed165823482e31672ed37d823b81a3389a76854e1e6ac832b3becbf",
    "ledger_hash_method": "SHA-256-CANONICAL-JSON-2",
    "ledger_hash_payload_fields": [
        "forecast_id",
        "sequence",
        "time",
        "probability_low",
        "probability_high",
        "reason_nb",
        "previous_hash",
        "hash_method"
    ],
    "original_question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᚠ3ᚴ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛆ ᚴᚢᚿᚠᛁᛐᛁᚿᚴᛁ ᛘᛁᚦᚢᛐ ᛌᚢᛘ ᚴᛆᚿᛐᛁᛐᛆᛐ- ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛁᚿᛐᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᚱᛁᚴᚢᛘᛘᛆᚿᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2028?",
    "original_probability_low": 30,
    "original_probability_high": 55
}