{
    "id": "FC-2026-026",
    "slug": "fc-2026-026",
    "question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛐᛁᚿ ᛁᚢᚱᚢᛒᛁᛁᛌᚴᛁ ᚱᚢᛘᛚᚢᚠᛆ ᚠᛁᚱᛆ ᚠᛁᛐᛐᛁᚴᛁᚿ ᚢᚴ ᚽᛆ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛁᚴᚱᛆᚠᛐᛌᛁᛐᛁᛁᚿᚴᛌᛐᛆᛐᚢ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2028?",
    "title": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛐᛁᚿ ᛁᚢᚱᚢᛒᛁᛁᛌᚴᛁ ᚱᚢᛘᛚᚢᚠᛆ ᚠᛁᚱᛆ ᚠᛁᛐᛐᛁᚴᛁᚿ ᚢᚴ ᚽᛆ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛁᚴᚱᛆᚠᛐᛌᛁᛐᛁᛁᚿᚴᛌᛐᛆᛐᚢ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2028?",
    "resolution_date": "2028-08-14",
    "resolution_criteria": "EU ᛘᚭ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛆ ᚠᛁᛐᛐᛁᚴᛁᚿ ᚱᛁᛐᛐᛌᛆᚴᛐ ᛁ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᛌᛁᛁᛚᛚ ᛁᚢᚢᚱᚿᛆᛚ ᛘᛁᛐ ᛁᚴᚱᛆᚠᛐᛌᛁᛐᛁᛁᚿᚴᛌᛐᛆᛐᚢ. ᛒᚢᛚᛁᛐᛁᛌᚴ ᛌᛁᛘᛁᛁ, ᚴᚢᛘᛁᛐéᛐᛁᚴᛌᛐ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚴᚢᛘᛘᛁᛌᛁᚢᚿᛌᚠᚱᛆᛘᛚᛁᚴᚴ ᛐᛁᛚ ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ.",
    "probability_low": 45,
    "probability_high": 65,
    "confidence_class": "C3",
    "base_rate": "ᛌᛐᚯᚱᚱᛁ EU-ᛚᚢᚠᚠᚱᛆᛘᛚᛁᚴᚴ ᚴᛆᚿ ᛒᛚᛁ ᚠᛁᛐᛐᛁᚴᚿᛁ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ ᛐᚱᛁ ᚭᚱ, ᛘᛁᚿ ᚢᛘᚠᛆᚿᚴ, ᚠᚢᚱᚽᛆᚿᛐᛚᛁᚿᚴ ᚢᚴ ᚢᚠᛁᚱᚴᛆᚿᚴᛌᚱᛁᚴᛚᛆᚱ ᚴᛁᚱ ᛌᛐᚢᚱ ᚢᚠᛁᛌᛌᛁ.",
    "evidence_set": [
        "SRC-183",
        "SRC-182",
        "SRC-185"
    ],
    "assumptions": "ᛚᚢᚠᛒᚱᚢᛌᛁᛌᛌᛁᚿ ᚽᛁᛚᛐ ᚠᚱᛆᛘ ᚢᛐᛆᚿ ᛆᛐ ᚠᚱᛆᛘᛚᛁᚴᚴᛁᛐ ᛒᛚᛁᚱ ᛐᚱᛁᚴᛐ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛁᚱᛌᛐᛆᛐᛐᛆ ᛆᚠ ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ-ᛒᛁᚿᛐᛆᚿᛐᛁ ᛐᛁᛚᛐᛆᚴ.",
    "drivers": "ᛘᛆᚱᚴᚿᛆᛐᛌᛌᛆᛘᚢᚱᛐᚿᛁᚿᚴ, ᚱᚢᛘᛐᚱᚢᚴᚴᛚᛁᛁᚴ, ᛒᛁᚱᛁᚴᚱᛆᚠᛐ ᚢᚴ ᚯᚿᛌᚴᛁᛁ ᚢᛘ ᚠᛁᛚᛚᛁᛌ ᚱᛁᚴᛚᛆᚱ.",
    "counter_drivers": "ᛒᚢᛚᛁᛐᛁᛌᚴ ᚢᛌᛁᛘᛁᛁ, ᛌᚢᛒᛌᛁᛐᛁᛆᚱᛁᛐᛁᛐ, ᚴᚢᛌᛐᚿᛆᛐ, ᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᚿᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᛚ ᚴᚢᚿᚴᚢᚱᚱᛆᚿᛌᛁ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛚᛆᚿᚴ ᛚᚢᚠᛒᚱᚢᛌᛁᛌᛌ.",
    "unknowns": "ᚱᚭᛐᛌ- ᚢᚴ ᛒᛆᚱᛚᛆᛘᛁᚿᛐᛌᛒᚢᛌᛁᛌᛁᚢᚿ, ᛁᚿᛐᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᚢᛘᚠᛆᚿᚴ ᚢᚴ ᛐᛁᛐᛌᛒᛚᛆᚿ ᛁᚱ ᚢᚴᛁᛁᚿᛐᛁ.",
    "status": "OPEN",
    "publication_time": "2026-08-15T04:21:00Z",
    "last_review": "2026-08-14",
    "next_review": "2026-11-14",
    "withdrawal_conditions": "ᚠᚱᛆᛘᛌᚢᚿᛁᛐ ᚠᛁᚱᛐ ᛒᛁᚱᚱᛁ ᛐᚱᛁᚴᛐ ᛐᛁᚱᛌᚢᛘ ᛌᛒᚯᚱᛌᛘᚭᛚᛁᛐ ᛒᛚᛁᚱ ᛘᚭᛚᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᚢᛘᚢᚴᛚᛁᚴ, ᛁᚿᛌᛐᛁᛐᚢᛌᛁᚢᚿᛁᚿ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᚠᛆᛘᛁᛚᛁᛁᚿ ᛒᛚᛁᚱ ᛆᚠᚠᛁᚴᛚᛆ, ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚴᚱᛁᛐᛁᚱᛁᛁᛐ ᚠᚭᚱ ᛁᛁᚿ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᛐ ᛚᚢᚴᛁᛌᚴ ᚠᛁᛁᛚ. ᚢᚱᛁᚴᛁᚿᛆᛚ ᚢᚱᛐᛚᚢᛐ ᚢᚴ ᚽᛁᛌᛐᚢᚱᛁᚴᚴ ᛌᚴᛆᛚ ᛌᛐᚭ.",
    "updates": [
        {
            "time": "2026-08-15T04:21:00Z",
            "probability_low": 45,
            "probability_high": 65,
            "reason": "ᚠᚢᚱᛌᛐᛁ ᛌ05-vurdering ᛒᚭ ᚴᚱᚢᚿᚿᛚᛆᚴ ᛆᚠ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛌᛐᛆᛐᚢᛌ, ᛌᛆᛘᛆᚿᛚᛁᚴᚿᛒᛆᚱ ᛁᚿᛌᛐᛁᛐᚢᛌᛁᚢᚿᛁᛚᛚ ᛒᚱᚢᛌᛁᛌᛌ ᚢᚴ ᛌᚢᚿᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᛘᚢᛐᛐᚱᛁᚠᛆᚱᛆᚱ.",
            "sequence": 1,
            "previous_hash": "0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000",
            "entry_hash": "b6834c84abdcdf8ef3c7cf1b5e707d1a69c4849a59a9109f2de8f91f207b5bdf"
        }
    ],
    "resolution": null,
    "score_method": "BRIER_INTERVAL_V1",
    "scoring_rule_version": "1.0",
    "resolution_source_ids": [],
    "resolution_authority": "ᛚᚯᚢᛌᛁᚿᚴ ᚴᚱᛁᚠ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛒᚱᛁᛘᛅᚱᚴᛁᛁᛚᛐᛁ ᚢᚴ ᚱᛁᛒᚱᚢᛐᚢᚴᛁᚱᛒᛆᚱ ᚴᚢᚿᛐᚱᚢᛚᛚ ᛘᚢᛐ ᛐᛁᚿ ᚢᛒᛒᚽᛆᚠᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᚢᚱᛐᛚᚢᛐᛁᚿ; ᛌ.com ᛌᚴᛆᛒᛁᚱ ᛁᚿᚴᛆ ᛁᚴᛌᛐᛁᚱᚿ ᛘᚢᚿᛐᛁᚴᚽᛁᛁᛐ.",
    "calibration_bin": "ᛒ40_59",
    "correction_status": "NONE",
    "limitations": "ᛐᛁᛐᛐᛁ ᛁᚱ ᛁᛁᛐ ᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛆ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛌᚠᚱᛆᛘᛌᚢᚿ, ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ ᛁᛁ ᛆᚠᚴᛁᛁᚱᛐ, ᚴᛆᚱᛆᚿᛐᛁ ᚠᚢᚱ ᛁᛘᛒᛚᛁᛘᛁᚿᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛌᛒᚭᛐᚢᛘ ᚢᛘ ᚠᛆᚴᛐᛁᛌᚴ ᚱᛁᛌᛁᚴᚢ.",
    "ledger_entry_count": 1,
    "ledger_head_hash": "b6834c84abdcdf8ef3c7cf1b5e707d1a69c4849a59a9109f2de8f91f207b5bdf",
    "ledger_hash_method": "SHA-256-CANONICAL-JSON-2",
    "ledger_hash_payload_fields": [
        "forecast_id",
        "sequence",
        "time",
        "probability_low",
        "probability_high",
        "reason_nb",
        "previous_hash",
        "hash_method"
    ],
    "original_question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛐᛁᚿ ᛁᚢᚱᚢᛒᛁᛁᛌᚴᛁ ᚱᚢᛘᛚᚢᚠᛆ ᚠᛁᚱᛆ ᚠᛁᛐᛐᛁᚴᛁᚿ ᚢᚴ ᚽᛆ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛁᚴᚱᛆᚠᛐᛌᛁᛐᛁᛁᚿᚴᛌᛐᛆᛐᚢ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2028?",
    "original_probability_low": 45,
    "original_probability_high": 65
}