{
    "id": "FC-2026-004",
    "slug": "fc-2026-004",
    "question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᚿᚢᛁ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᛌᛁᛁᛚᛚᛁ ᛁᚿᛁᚱᚴᛁᚠᚢᚱᛐᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛆᚱ ᚠᚱᛆᛘᛚᛁᛁᛌ ᚠᛁᛌᛆ ᛆᚢᚴᛆᚿᛐᛁ ᛐᛆᛐᛆᛌᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᛚᛆᛌᛐ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ ᚢᛐᚴᛆᚿᚴᛁᚿ ᛆᚠ 2027?",
    "title": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᚿᚢᛁ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᛌᛁᛁᛚᛚᛁ ᛁᚿᛁᚱᚴᛁᚠᚢᚱᛐᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛆᚱ ᚠᚱᛆᛘᛚᛁᛁᛌ ᚠᛁᛌᛆ ᛆᚢᚴᛆᚿᛐᛁ ᛐᛆᛐᛆᛌᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᛚᛆᛌᛐ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ ᚢᛐᚴᛆᚿᚴᛁᚿ ᛆᚠ 2027?",
    "resolution_date": "2027-12-31",
    "resolution_criteria": "ᛘᛁᚿᛌᛐ ᛐᚢ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᛌᛁᛁᛚᛚᛁ ᚠᚢᚱᛐᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛆᚱ ᚠᛁᛌᛁᚱ ᚠᛁᚴᛌᛐ ᛁ ᛐᛆᛐᛆᛌᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᛒᚱᚢᚴ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛐᛁᛚᚴᚢᛒᛚᛆ ᛚᛆᛌᛐ ᚢᚠᛁᚱ ᛌᛁᛌᛐᛁ ᛌᛆᛘᛆᚿᛚᛁᚴᚿᛒᛆᚱᛁ ᛒᛁᚱᛁᚢᛐᛁ.",
    "probability_low": 70,
    "probability_high": 85,
    "confidence_class": "C3",
    "base_rate": "ᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛆ ᚽᛁᛌᛐᚢᚱᛁᛌᚴ ᛌᛆᛘᛆᚿᛚᛁᚴᚿᛁᚿᚴ; ᛒᛆᛌᛁᚠᚱᛁᚴᚠᛁᚿᛌᛁᚿ ᛁᚱ ᚴᚠᛆᛚᛁᛐᛆᛐᛁᚠ ᚢᚴ ᚠᛁᚱᛐ ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ ᛒᚱᛁᛌᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᛐ ᛌᚢᛘ ᛒᚱᛁᛌᛁᛌᛐ ᛐᛆᛚ.",
    "evidence_set": [
        "SRC-060",
        "SRC-064"
    ],
    "assumptions": "ᚢᚠᚠᛁᛌᛁᛁᛚᛚᛁ ᚱᛁᚴᛁᛌᛐᛁᚱ ᚢᚴ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᚴᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᚱ ᛁᚱ ᛐᛁᛚᚴᛁᛁᚿᚴᛁᛚᛁᚴᛁ, ᛐᛁᚠᛁᚿᛁᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᚿᛁ ᚽᛁᛚᛐ ᛌᛁᚴ ᛌᛆᛘᛆᚿᛚᛁᚴᚿᛒᛆᚱᛁ, ᚢᚴ ᛁᚿᚴᛁᚿ ᚢᚠᛁᚿᛐᛆ ᚱᛁᛐᛐᛌᛚᛁᚴ ᚢᛘᚴᛚᛆᛌᛌᛁᚠᛁᛌᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴ ᛁᚿᛐᚱᛆᚱ ᛌᛒᚯᚱᛌᛘᚭᛚᛁᛐ.",
    "drivers": "ᚱᛁᚴᛁᛚᚴᛁᛁᚿᚿᚢᛘᚠᚯᚱᛁᚿᚴ, ᛌᛐᛆᚿᛐᛆᚱᛐᛆᚱᛒᛁᛁᛐ, ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛁᚿᚿᚴᛁᚯᛒ, ᛐᛁᚴᚿᛁᛌᚴ ᚢᛐᚠᛁᚴᛚᛁᚿᚴ ᚢᚴ ᛁᚿᛌᛐᛁᛐᚢᛌᛁᚢᚿᛁᛚᛚ ᛌᛆᛘᚢᚱᛐᚿᛁᚿᚴ.",
    "counter_drivers": "ᛒᚢᛚᛁᛐᛁᛌᚴ ᛌᚴᛁᚠᛐᛁ, ᚠᚢᚱᛌᛁᛁᚿᚴᛁᚿᚴ, ᛁᚢᚱᛁᛌᛐᛁᚴᛌᛁᚢᚿᛌᚴᚢᚿᚠᛚᛁᚴᛐ, ᛌᚠᛆᚴ ᛁᛐᛐᛁᚱᛌᛒᚢᚱᚿᛆᛐ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛁᚿᛐᚱᛆ ᛐᛁᚠᛁᚿᛁᛌᛁᚢᚿ.",
    "unknowns": "ᛚᚢᚴᚴᛆ ᚠᚢᚱᚽᛆᚿᛐᛚᛁᚿᚴᛆᚱ, ᚠᚱᛆᛘᛐᛁᛐᛁᚴᛁ ᚽᛁᚿᛐᛁᚿᚴᛆᚱ ᚢᚴ ᛁᚿᛐᚱᛆ ᛒᚱᛁᚢᚱᛁᛐᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴ ᛁᚱ ᚢᚴᛁᛁᚿᛐᛁ.",
    "status": "OPEN",
    "publication_time": "2026-08-14T22:38:00Z",
    "last_review": "2026-08-14",
    "next_review": "2026-11-14",
    "withdrawal_conditions": "ᛌᛒᚯᚱᛌᛘᚭᛚᛁᛐ ᚠᛁᚱᛐ ᛐᚱᛁᚴᛐ ᛐᛁᚱᛌᚢᛘ ᚴᚱᛁᛐᛁᚱᛁᛁᛐ ᚠᛁᚱᛐ ᚢᛘᚢᚴᛚᛁᚴ ᚭ ᛘᚭᛚᛆ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛐᛁᚿ ᚿᛆᛘᚿᚴᛁᛁᚠᚿᛁ ᛁᚿᛌᛐᛁᛐᚢᛌᛁᚢᚿᛁᚿ ᚢᛒᛒᚽᚯᚢᚱᛁᚱ.",
    "updates": [
        {
            "time": "2026-08-14T22:38:00Z",
            "probability_low": 70,
            "probability_high": 85,
            "reason": "ᚠᚢᚱᛌᛐᛁ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴᛁ, ᚴᛁᛁᛚᛐᛁᛒᚢᚿᛐᚿᛁ ᚠᚢᚱᛐᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴ.",
            "sequence": 1,
            "previous_hash": "0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000",
            "entry_hash": "6ca1e7cd9e1ba4a9cd26714766dc8dee47960d2e057cfa1927fde9097613546b"
        }
    ],
    "resolution": null,
    "score_method": "BRIER_INTERVAL_V1",
    "correction_status": "NONE",
    "limitations": "ᛐᛁᛐᛐᛁ ᛁᚱ ᛁᛁᛐ ᚠᚱᛆᛘᛌᚢᚿ, ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ ᛁᛁ ᛆᚠᚴᛁᛁᚱᛐ, ᚢᚱᛐᚱᛁ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚴᛆᚱᛆᚿᛐᛁ.",
    "ledger_entry_count": 1,
    "ledger_head_hash": "6ca1e7cd9e1ba4a9cd26714766dc8dee47960d2e057cfa1927fde9097613546b",
    "ledger_hash_method": "SHA-256-CANONICAL-JSON-2",
    "original_question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᚿᚢᛁ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᛌᛁᛁᛚᛚᛁ ᛁᚿᛁᚱᚴᛁᚠᚢᚱᛐᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴᛆᚱ ᚠᚱᛆᛘᛚᛁᛁᛌ ᚠᛁᛌᛆ ᛆᚢᚴᛆᚿᛐᛁ ᛐᛆᛐᛆᛌᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᛚᛆᛌᛐ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ ᚢᛐᚴᛆᚿᚴᛁᚿ ᛆᚠ 2027?",
    "original_probability_low": 70,
    "original_probability_high": 85,
    "scoring_rule_version": "1.0",
    "resolution_source_ids": [],
    "resolution_authority": "ᛚᚯᚢᛌᛁᚿᚴ ᚴᚱᛁᚠ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛌᚢᛘ ᚴᛆᚿ ᚴᚢᚿᛐᚱᚢᛚᛚᛁᚱᛆᛌᛐ ᛘᚢᛐ ᛐᛁᛐ ᚢᛒᛒᚽᛆᚠᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᚴᚱᛁᛐᛁᚱᛁᛁᛐ. ᛌ.com ᛌᚴᛆᛒᛁᚱ ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ ᛁᚴᛌᛐᛁᚱᚿ ᛘᚢᚿᛐᛁᚴᚽᛁᛁᛐ.",
    "calibration_bin": "ᛒ60_79",
    "ledger_hash_payload_fields": [
        "forecast_id",
        "sequence",
        "time",
        "probability_low",
        "probability_high",
        "reason_nb",
        "previous_hash",
        "hash_method"
    ]
}