{
    "id": "FC-2026-002",
    "slug": "fc-2026-002",
    "question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛌᛐᛆᚿᛐᛆᚱᛐᚠᛆᛘᛁᛚᛁᛁᚿ ᚠᚢᚱ ᚠᛁᚱᛁᚠᛁᛌᛁᚱᛒᛆᚱᛁ ᛚᛁᚴᛁᛐᛁᛘᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᚱ ᚠᚭ ᛘᛁᚿᛌᛐ éᛁ ᚿᚢ ᛁᚿᛐᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᛐᛁᛚᚱᚭᛐᛁᚿᚴ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2027?",
    "title": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛌᛐᛆᚿᛐᛆᚱᛐᚠᛆᛘᛁᛚᛁᛁᚿ ᚠᚢᚱ ᚠᛁᚱᛁᚠᛁᛌᛁᚱᛒᛆᚱᛁ ᛚᛁᚴᛁᛐᛁᛘᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᚱ ᚠᚭ ᛘᛁᚿᛌᛐ éᛁ ᚿᚢ ᛁᚿᛐᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᛐᛁᛚᚱᚭᛐᛁᚿᚴ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2027?",
    "resolution_date": "2027-08-14",
    "resolution_criteria": "ᚠᛁᚱᛐᛌᚠᛁᚠᚴᚢᚿᛌᚢᚱᛐᛁᛁᛐ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᛌᛁᚱᛁᚱ ᛁᛁ ᚿᚢ ᛐᛁᛚᚱᚭᛐᛁᚿᚴ ᛁ ᛐᛁᚿ ᚠᛁᚱᛁᚠᛁᛌᛁᚱᛒᛆᚱᛁ ᛚᛁᚴᛁᛐᛁᛘᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛌᚠᛆᛘᛁᛚᛁᛁᚿ.",
    "probability_low": 60,
    "probability_high": 75,
    "confidence_class": "C3",
    "base_rate": "ᛆᚠᚴᚱᛁᚿᛌᛆ ᚽᛁᛌᛐᚢᚱᛁᛌᚴ ᛌᛆᛘᛆᚿᛚᛁᚴᚿᛁᚿᚴ; ᛒᛆᛌᛁᚠᚱᛁᚴᚠᛁᚿᛌᛁᚿ ᛁᚱ ᚴᚠᛆᛚᛁᛐᛆᛐᛁᚠ ᚢᚴ ᚠᛁᚱᛐ ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ ᛒᚱᛁᛌᛁᚿᛐᛁᚱᛐ ᛌᚢᛘ ᛒᚱᛁᛌᛁᛌᛐ ᛐᛆᛚ.",
    "evidence_set": [
        "SRC-017",
        "SRC-013"
    ],
    "assumptions": "ᚢᚠᚠᛁᛌᛁᛁᛚᛚᛁ ᚱᛁᚴᛁᛌᛐᛁᚱ ᚢᚴ ᛒᚢᛒᛚᛁᚴᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᚱ ᛁᚱ ᛐᛁᛚᚴᛁᛁᚿᚴᛁᛚᛁᚴᛁ, ᛐᛁᚠᛁᚿᛁᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᚿᛁ ᚽᛁᛚᛐ ᛌᛁᚴ ᛌᛆᛘᛆᚿᛚᛁᚴᚿᛒᛆᚱᛁ, ᚢᚴ ᛁᚿᚴᛁᚿ ᚢᚠᛁᚿᛐᛆ ᚱᛁᛐᛐᛌᛚᛁᚴ ᚢᛘᚴᛚᛆᛌᛌᛁᚠᛁᛌᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴ ᛁᚿᛐᚱᛆᚱ ᛌᛒᚯᚱᛌᛘᚭᛚᛁᛐ.",
    "drivers": "ᚱᛁᚴᛁᛚᚴᛁᛁᚿᚿᚢᛘᚠᚯᚱᛁᚿᚴ, ᛌᛐᛆᚿᛐᛆᚱᛐᛆᚱᛒᛁᛁᛐ, ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛁᚿᚿᚴᛁᚯᛒ, ᛐᛁᚴᚿᛁᛌᚴ ᚢᛐᚠᛁᚴᛚᛁᚿᚴ ᚢᚴ ᛁᚿᛌᛐᛁᛐᚢᛌᛁᚢᚿᛁᛚᛚ ᛌᛆᛘᚢᚱᛐᚿᛁᚿᚴ.",
    "counter_drivers": "ᛒᚢᛚᛁᛐᛁᛌᚴ ᛌᚴᛁᚠᛐᛁ, ᚠᚢᚱᛌᛁᛁᚿᚴᛁᚿᚴ, ᛁᚢᚱᛁᛌᛐᛁᚴᛌᛁᚢᚿᛌᚴᚢᚿᚠᛚᛁᚴᛐ, ᛌᚠᛆᚴ ᛁᛐᛐᛁᚱᛌᛒᚢᚱᚿᛆᛐ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛁᚿᛐᚱᛆ ᛐᛁᚠᛁᚿᛁᛌᛁᚢᚿ.",
    "unknowns": "ᛚᚢᚴᚴᛆ ᚠᚢᚱᚽᛆᚿᛐᛚᛁᚿᚴᛆᚱ, ᚠᚱᛆᛘᛐᛁᛐᛁᚴᛁ ᚽᛁᚿᛐᛁᚿᚴᛆᚱ ᚢᚴ ᛁᚿᛐᚱᛆ ᛒᚱᛁᚢᚱᛁᛐᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴ ᛁᚱ ᚢᚴᛁᛁᚿᛐᛁ.",
    "status": "OPEN",
    "publication_time": "2026-08-14T22:38:00Z",
    "last_review": "2026-08-14",
    "next_review": "2026-11-14",
    "withdrawal_conditions": "ᛌᛒᚯᚱᛌᛘᚭᛚᛁᛐ ᚠᛁᚱᛐ ᛐᚱᛁᚴᛐ ᛐᛁᚱᛌᚢᛘ ᚴᚱᛁᛐᛁᚱᛁᛁᛐ ᚠᛁᚱᛐ ᚢᛘᚢᚴᛚᛁᚴ ᚭ ᛘᚭᛚᛆ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᛐᛁᚿ ᚿᛆᛘᚿᚴᛁᛁᚠᚿᛁ ᛁᚿᛌᛐᛁᛐᚢᛌᛁᚢᚿᛁᚿ ᚢᛒᛒᚽᚯᚢᚱᛁᚱ.",
    "updates": [
        {
            "time": "2026-08-14T22:38:00Z",
            "probability_low": 60,
            "probability_high": 75,
            "reason": "ᚠᚢᚱᛌᛐᛁ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴᛁ, ᚴᛁᛁᛚᛐᛁᛒᚢᚿᛐᚿᛁ ᚠᚢᚱᛐᛁᚱᛁᚿᚴ.",
            "sequence": 1,
            "previous_hash": "0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000",
            "entry_hash": "b77e25b7a5ee328b8be76b6573c00a4722daf5e65388dfd5aa2b23c09e84ecf6"
        }
    ],
    "resolution": null,
    "score_method": "BRIER_INTERVAL_V1",
    "correction_status": "NONE",
    "limitations": "ᛐᛁᛐᛐᛁ ᛁᚱ ᛁᛁᛐ ᚠᚱᛆᛘᛌᚢᚿ, ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ ᛁᛁ ᛆᚠᚴᛁᛁᚱᛐ, ᚢᚱᛐᚱᛁ ᛁᛚᛚᛁᚱ ᚴᛆᚱᛆᚿᛐᛁ.",
    "ledger_entry_count": 1,
    "ledger_head_hash": "b77e25b7a5ee328b8be76b6573c00a4722daf5e65388dfd5aa2b23c09e84ecf6",
    "ledger_hash_method": "SHA-256-CANONICAL-JSON-2",
    "original_question": "ᚠᛁᛚ ᛌᛐᛆᚿᛐᛆᚱᛐᚠᛆᛘᛁᛚᛁᛁᚿ ᚠᚢᚱ ᚠᛁᚱᛁᚠᛁᛌᛁᚱᛒᛆᚱᛁ ᛚᛁᚴᛁᛐᛁᛘᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿᛆᚱ ᚠᚭ ᛘᛁᚿᛌᛐ éᛁ ᚿᚢ ᛁᚿᛐᛁᛚᛁᚴ ᛐᛁᛚᚱᚭᛐᛁᚿᚴ ᛁᚿᚿᛆᚿ 14. ᛆᚢᚴᚢᛌᛐ 2027?",
    "original_probability_low": 60,
    "original_probability_high": 75,
    "scoring_rule_version": "1.0",
    "resolution_source_ids": [],
    "resolution_authority": "ᛚᚯᚢᛌᛁᚿᚴ ᚴᚱᛁᚠ ᚢᚠᚠᛁᚿᛐᛚᛁᚴ ᛐᚢᚴᚢᛘᛁᚿᛐᛆᛌᛁᚢᚿ ᛌᚢᛘ ᚴᛆᚿ ᚴᚢᚿᛐᚱᚢᛚᛚᛁᚱᛆᛌᛐ ᛘᚢᛐ ᛐᛁᛐ ᚢᛒᛒᚽᛆᚠᛚᛁᚴᛁ ᚴᚱᛁᛐᛁᚱᛁᛁᛐ. ᛌ.com ᛌᚴᛆᛒᛁᚱ ᛁᚴᚴᛁᛁ ᛁᚴᛌᛐᛁᚱᚿ ᛘᚢᚿᛐᛁᚴᚽᛁᛁᛐ.",
    "calibration_bin": "ᛒ60_79",
    "ledger_hash_payload_fields": [
        "forecast_id",
        "sequence",
        "time",
        "probability_low",
        "probability_high",
        "reason_nb",
        "previous_hash",
        "hash_method"
    ]
}